“If ads move numbers against Republicans across the country, Democrats may be able to mitigate -- if not totally alleviate -- their losses. If the ads don't change voters' perception in a meaningful way, Democrats could be headed to an electoral Armageddon on Nov. 2.”
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How worried should the Dems be over the recent Gallup poll showing a 10pt gap with the GOP?
“This is vintage Obama...poetic rhetoric...a traditional approach...blunt speaking at the start, call to a higher cause at the end.”
“Whether it was Alvin Greene or Vic Rawl running against him, DeMint is something close to a shoo-in for re-election. Would Republicans really take that sort of risk in a race where they would be, at best, a longshot under any circumstances?”
“Lincoln beat Halter -- and the national labor unions that had spent millions on his behalf -- in a remarkable result that provided a counter-weight to the anti-incumbent trend nationally.”
“Does Critz's win mean that Democrats won't lose seats this fall? Absolutely not. But, it once again proves that candidates and campaign strategy matter and puts the burden of proof squarely on Republicans moving forward when it comes to making a case for the majority.”
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“Specter's loss will be endlessly examined (and then re-examined) in the days to come but, at its root, there were two main factors at work: the perils of party switching and an anti-incumbent national environment.”
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“Here's Paul's political problem in two easy steps. 1) He was trying to make a theoretical argument about what role the government does (or should) have telling private businesses what to do. 2) Theoretical arguments are stone cold losers in the context of political campaigns.”
“It remains to be seen how badly these revelations will damage Blumenthal's front-running candidacy. He faces only nominal primary opposition at the moment although the state's filing deadline isn't for another week. That week is going to be the toughest of Blumenthal's career.”
“It also marks the first major victory for the conservative wing of the Republican party, which has organized itself under the banner of the Tea Party movement to protest what they believe to be a government run amok.”
“Crist will be THE story in the political world for the next 48-72 hours. But, what does he do after the immediate crush of attention fades and he is a man without a political country? Crist has to figure out a way to build on any momentum gained from his expected announcement today.”
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